Publications
The publications constitute a series of 3 articles on a given topic, summarizing in-depth analysis of the discussed phenomenon.
Additional occasional publications and longer reports or analyses may also appear.
Publications interact with scripts, presentations and infographics.
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State Entities of Lebanon Key to the Media Landscape This material is one of ten analytical briefs accompanying the full report on the security of Lebanon’s information environment. It forms part of a broader series examining key trends and incidents shaping the informational landscape. We encourage you to read the full report:https://shafafiyat.com/ar/2025/09/17/%d8%aa%d9%82%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%8a%d8%a6%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%88%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%a7%d9%86/ Lebanon, though geographically small, is characterised by an extremely complex political and social system in which media and telecommunications infrastructure play a strategic role. In this country, freedom of speech is theoretically protected by the constitution; however, in practice, control over information is heavily dependent on political and sectarian interests. State institutions responsible for regulating media, communications, and the protection of journalists operate in a complicated environment where formal independence often does not...

In the sprawling, often murky landscape of global information warfare, a particularly insidious narrative has taken root in Arabic-speaking corners of the internet: the idea that the conceptual and ideological origins of German Nazism lie not in Germany, but in the United States. Propagated through a series of coordinated articles on sarabic.ae — a media platform affiliated with the Russian state-run Sputnik network — this narrative exemplifies the Kremlin’s strategic use of historical distortion to serve present-day geopolitical goals. By twisting documented facts, selectively quoting scholarship, and exploiting cultural grievances, Russian propagandists aim to recast the United States as the ideological progenitor of one of history’s greatest evils, and, by extension, to morally disqualify it from criticizing Russia or leading any international coalition. This article...

Recognition of Religious Institutions as Sources of Information in Lebanon This material is one of ten analytical briefs accompanying the full report on the security of Lebanon’s information environment. It forms part of a broader series examining key trends and incidents shaping the informational landscape. We encourage you to read the full report:https://shafafiyat.com/ar/2025/09/17/%d8%aa%d9%82%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%8a%d8%a6%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%88%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%a7%d9%86/ In Lebanon, a country with a deeply rooted confessional system, religious institutions play a key role not only in the spiritual sphere but also as main sources of information, social support, and education. In the face of state weakness and chronic crises, they often assume functions typically reserved for public institutions, shaping citizens’ daily lives and influencing public opinion. The confessional system in Lebanon, based on a balance between 18 recognized denominations,...

Military Cooperation and Non-State Armed Formations in Lebanon This material is one of ten analytical briefs accompanying the full report on the security of Lebanon’s information environment. It forms part of a broader series examining key trends and incidents shaping the informational landscape. We encourage you to read the full report:https://shafafiyat.com/ar/2025/09/17/%d8%aa%d9%82%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%8a%d8%a6%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%88%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%a7%d9%86/ Lebanon’s modern security architecture is based on a delicate balance between the formal army, supported by foreign partners, and a complex mosaic of non-state armed groups. Crucial to this setup is military aid from the United States and France, as well as the role of UN peacekeeping forces (UNIFIL), whose presence stabilizes Lebanon’s southern border with Israel. Despite this, state security structures are weakened by political deadlock and limited public trust. At the same...

Social vulnerabilities This material is one of ten analytical briefs accompanying the full report on the security of Lebanon’s information environment. It forms part of a broader series examining key trends and incidents shaping the informational landscape. We encourage you to read the full report:https://shafafiyat.com/ar/2025/09/17/%d8%aa%d9%82%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%8a%d8%a6%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%88%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%a7%d9%86/ Lebanon, a country with an exceptionally complex socio-political structure, is currently in a state of profound crisis. The impact of sectarianism, ethnic tensions, extreme economic instability, and growing security threats creates a mosaic of social vulnerabilities that systematically undermine the foundations of statehood and national unity. In the absence of strong state institutions, religious identity and communal affiliation become the dominant frameworks for social and political life. Religious vulnerabilities The religious landscape of Lebanon is incredibly diverse. In 2023, the population was approximately 5.4 million,...

“The accused, acting on the instructions of a foreign emissary of an international terrorist organisation based in Poland, were spreading terrorist ideology among local Muslims and migrant workers,” reads the official statement of the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB). In another part of the statement, the FSB refers to “a covert cell of an international terrorist organisation which was planning a violent takeover of power and the establishment of a so-called global caliphate.” At first glance, this may appear to be a report of a genuine threat to the security of the Russian Federation. In reality, however, it is yet another episode in the long-running series of Russian propaganda, in which Poland—alongside NATO and the European Union—plays the role of the principal villain. We asked...

Susceptibility to disinformation and conspiracy theories in Lebanon This material is one of ten analytical briefs accompanying the full report on the security of Lebanon’s information environment. It forms part of a broader series examining key trends and incidents shaping the informational landscape. We encourage you to read the full report:https://shafafiyat.com/ar/2025/09/17/%d8%aa%d9%82%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%8a%d8%a6%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%88%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%a7%d9%86/ Lebanese society shows a strong susceptibility to “bazaar information,” including conspiracy theories, stemming from polarisation and a deep-seated lack of trust in state institutions and foreign influences. This makes alternative explanations more appealing, enabling disinformation networks and extremist groups to exploit public grievances by disseminating unverified claims online. The complex political landscape, marked by constant external interference and a fragmented power structure, often leads citizens to resort to conspiracy theories to explain the country’s instability. Reliance on speculative...

Viewership and perception of state media This material is one of ten analytical briefs accompanying the full report on the security of Lebanon’s information environment. It forms part of a broader series examining key trends and incidents shaping the informational landscape. We encourage you to read the full report:https://shafafiyat.com/ar/2025/09/17/%d8%aa%d9%82%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%8a%d8%a6%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%88%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%a7%d9%86/ Lebanese state media, primarily represented by Télé Liban (managed by the Ministry of Information) and Al-Manar (managed by Hezbollah), occupies a specific yet complex position in the country’s highly polarised media landscape. Together, they attract a moderate share of the audience, 11.6% for Télé Liban and 6.4% for Al-Manar, which, compared to the much larger audiences of more popular private channels, indicates a limited overall reach. State channels are often viewed through a political lens, with viewers choosing them based...

This material is one of ten analytical briefs accompanying the full report on the security of Lebanon’s information environment. It forms part of a broader series examining key trends and incidents shaping the informational landscape. We encourage you to read the full report:https://shafafiyat.com/ar/2025/09/17/%d8%aa%d9%82%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%8a%d8%a6%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%88%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%a7%d9%86/ In Lebanon, the media is divided between those supporting the current government by spreading propaganda and those opposing the government’s narrative. This often relates to the pro- and anti-Hezbollah rivalry in the country. The media in Lebanon are politicised, with only a handful striving to maintain objectivity. Besides television programs or newspapers, media personalities (journalists and influencers) who often oppose the current regime have a significant influence, thereby exposing themselves to reprisals from Hezbollah. Most newspapers and media outlets are headquartered in Beirut. With ten private daily newspapers in three...